ALL WEATHER STALLS TO FOLLOW 2006/2007
The best draw advantages to follow during 2006/7
ALL these draw advantage recommendations are for races confined to horses aged 3 years or older
Course and distance menu All Weather Overview
All draw advantage recommendations on this web site
are normally tested on future races before being promoted to the turf Stalls To
Follow A list, or being put forward in
the Race Of The Week feature.
This testing can often be picked up in the comments for individual draw
advantage charts, when a series of recent results have strongly favoured a
few stalls, but the comments advise caution until more results confirm the
pattern.
Also the Stalls To Follow B list is a "Wait and see" list, of draw advantage patterns awaiting more results
pending a stronger recommendation.
Under normal
circumstances, my Stalls To Follow lists are not altered in any way throughout a
flat season.
These All Weather stats were introduced in late 2005, and were untested on future races
at that time.
More
importantly, although some of the sample sizes are now quite large, these AW timescales are still very short
making these very short term trends, therefore this list
may be altered
if necessary as the AW season
progresses in order to give the best draw advantage advice.
Please bear in mind that 6 stalls is more than half the runners in some of these
AW races.
AW Stalls To Follow in 2007 |
|||||
C/Dist | Stalls Position | Going | No. of Runners | Stalls to follow | |
Southwell 5F | Low | Any | 8 or more | 1 to 6 | Won 65 of 96 races 67%. (April 2005 to Dec 2006) |
Southwell 5F | Low | Standard Slow | 8 or more | 1 to 6 | Won 5 of 6 races 83% |
Southwell 6F | Low | Standard Slow | 8 or more | 1 to 6 | Won 5 of 5 races 100% |
Wolves 5F | Low | Any | 8 or more | 1 to 6 | Won 86 of 127 races 67% |
Wolves 5F, 6F, 7F |
Low | Standard Fast | 8 or more | 1 to 6 | Won 27 of 34 races 79%. |
Stall To Lay
C/Dist | Stalls Position | Going | No. of Runners | Stalls to Lay | |
Lingfield 5F | High | Any | 8 or more | Stall 1 | Won only 4 of 73 races 5.5% |
B List. A wait and see list of Stalls To Lay.
C/Dist | Stalls Position | Going | No. of Runners | Stalls to follow | |
Southwell 5F | High | Any | 8 or more | Top 3 stalls | Won
only 7 of 66 races 10.6% (Apr 2005 to Dec 2006) |
Amendments after Sept 30th
2006.
Dec 2006. Kempton 5F and 6F removed from B list. Top stall had won 0
in 34 races, but Oct - Dec there were 4 wins in 28 races. 5F (1). 6F
(3).
Overall trends Oct to Dec 2006 favoured High drawn horses to a greater extent
than previously.
Dec 2006. Southwell 5F relegated to B List. Top 3 stalls won 2 of 8
races Oct - Dec 2006.
Dec 2006. Wolves 6F removed. Stalls 1 to 6 won only 9 of 27 races
Oct - Dec 2006.