Horse racing draw advantage bias KEMPTON AW 5F
Stalls usually positioned HIGH

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WINNING STALL NUMBER

 1  2  3  4  5  6  7  8  9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
No

of

R

U

N

E

R

S

8 1         1    
9                   Results Oct 2006  - Feb 2007
3yr olds and older only.
10     1         1    
11               1     1
12 1   1           11   11 11
13                          
14                            
15                              
16                                
17                                  
18                                    
19                                      
20                                        
2 0 2 0 0 1

<--Good or better -->

0 0 3 2 2 3
4 10

Copyright © 2005 [H Hutchinson]. All rights reserved.

Kempton is a right handed course, so High numbers are closest to the inside rail in all races.
Initially, on the chart below, the Bottom half of the draw, away from the inside rail won 7 of 11 races, but stalls 1 and 2 furthest from the inside rail drew a blank.
Also the Top stall next to the inside rail failed to score.
There was the start of a spread of wins in races with 12 runners.
The more recent results on the chart above, have favoured High stalls.
The spread of wins in races of 12 runners has continued to some extent.
The Top 5 stalls won 10 of 14 races 71%.
If we are lucky, we may now be seeing the true draw advantage in these races as jockeys have got used to the course and perhaps there has been some bedding down of the new track.
That is pure guesswork based on just 14 results.
With maximum fields of just 12 runners, all this could easily be coincidence from a weak pattern.
It's still very early days for making any definite decision regarding the draw here.

WINNING STALL NUMBER

 1  2  3  4  5  6  7  8  9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
No

of

R

U

N

E

R

S

8                
9                   Results to Sept 30th 2006
3yr olds and older only.
10     1         11    
11       1              
12     11 11   1       1 1  
13                          
14                            
15                              
16                                
17                                  
18                                    
19                                      
20                                        
0 0 3 3 0 1

<--Good or better -->

0 0 0 3 1 0
7 4

Copyright © 2005 [H Hutchinson]. All rights reserved.