Horse racing draw advantage bias Lingfield 5F all weather 
Stalls usually positioned High

3yr olds and older only.
Results of races since March 23rd 2004 with most recent results on the top chart.  
See additional charts below for older results.

Link to course and distance menu      All Weather Overview

WINNING STALL NUMBER

 1  2  3  4  5  6 7  8  9 10 11 12 13
No

of

R

U

N

E

R

S

8   1         1   Oct 2006 - Feb 2007
9 1                
10 1   1 1 111   11 111 1 1
11                      
12                        
13                          
2 1 1 1 3 0 Totals 3 0 2 3 2 1
8 8

Copyright 2006 [H Hutchinson]. All rights reserved.

Over all, charts no section of the stalls has been dominant.
These races start from a chute near the entrance to the straight.
The stalls are usually positioned High, away from the inside rail.
This is s  left-handed course.
Stall number 1 is therefore nearest to the inside rail.
It appeared that horses had difficulties if running hard early from stall 1 to secure a good position round the bend, or if saving their effort for the end of races they struggled to pick their way past other horses.
Whatever your theory may be, stall 1 looked like Lay material winning only 3 of 63 races 4.76% from March 2004 to Sept 2006  (Sp's  4/1, 7/1, 10/1)
From March 2004 to the end of Feb 2006, there were 28 consecutive races for horses aged 3 yrs and older, without a winner from stall 1.

However, the recent results above show 2 wins in 16 races 12.5%. (Sp's 9/4 and 7/4).
If all races had the maximum 10 runners, we would expect 1 in 10 winners in the long term if there was no draw bias.
The totals are now 5 wins in 79 races 6.33%, still some way short of 10%, but in the light of recent results, this is now only one to watch at present.

Totals for all charts combined :- Bottom half 41 wins, Top half 38.


Apr - Sept 2006

WINNING STALL NUMBER

 1  2  3  4  5  6 7  8  9 10 11 12 13
No

of

R

U

N

E

R

S

8                 Apr - Sept 2006
9                  
10   1 1     1     1 1
11                      
12                        
13                          
0 1 1 0 0 1 Totals 0 1 0 0 1 1
2 3

Copyright 2006 [H Hutchinson]. All rights reserved.


Lingfield 5F all weather
Sept 3rd 2005 to March 31st 2006

WINNING STALL NUMBER

 1  2  3  4  5  6 7  8  9 10 11 12 13
No

of

R

U

N

E

R

S

8     1     1 1 1 Sept 4th 2005
to Mar 31 2006 
9   1   111 11       1
10 1 11   11 1 11 1 1 11 1
11                      
12                        
13                          
1 3 1 5 3 3 Totals 5 4 1 2 3 3
11 11

Copyright 2006 [H Hutchinson]. All rights reserved.

 


Lingfield 5F all weather
March 23rd 2004 to Sept 3rd 2005

WINNING STALL NUMBER

 1  2  3  4  5  6 7  8  9 10 11 12 13
No

of

R

U

N

E

R

S

8       111 11       March 23rd 2004 to Sept 3rd 2005
9   111 1       11    
10 11 11 1111 111L 1 111 111 111   111
11                      
12                        
13                          
2 5 5 7 3 3 Totals 1 6 5 5 0 3
20 16

Copyright 2006 [H Hutchinson]. All rights reserved.