Horse
racing draw advantage bias
Southwell 5F all weather
Stalls usually positioned
High
3yr olds and
older only.
Results of races since November 2004 with most recent results on the top
chart.
See additional charts below
for older results.
Link
to course and distance menu
All
Weather Overview
These were the Sept 30th 2006
observations :-
"The surface at Southwell was
renewed in October 2004.
Initially throughout the winter of 2004/5, these 5F races didn't favour a
minority of stalls significantly, but from April 2005 to Sept 2006, stalls 1 to
6 won 3 of every 4 races."
Another significant trend appeared to be a lack
of winners from the Top 3 stalls.
Those results could have been an indication of the course settling after re-surfacing,
a drainage problem, just coincidence, or you may have your own theory.
Whatever the cause, Southwell 5F results have shown a more even spread since
October 2006.
WINNING STALL NUMBER |
|
|
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
No
of
R
U
N
E
R
S |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
11 |
|
Oct
2006 - Feb 2007 |
|
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
|
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
11 |
|
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
|
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
13 |
F |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
14 |
|
11 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
|
|
1 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
Totals |
|
0 |
0 |
3 |
1 |
3 |
2 |
|
|
7 |
9 |
Copyright © 2005 [H Hutchinson]. All rights reserved.
|
F = Standard-fast going.
1 = Slow going.
Results have been very even Oct 2006 - Feb 2007.
On all charts combined, the Bottom half won 64 of 104 races 61%, Top half 34 of
104 races 32%.
Stalls 1 to 6 won 69 of 104 races 66%.
On Standard/Slow going, results shown in red,
stalls 1 - 6 won 5 of 7 races.
Standard/Slow going is most likely to occur after hard overnight frost.
Follow this link for going description
details.
Apr 1st to Sept 30th 2006
WINNING STALL NUMBER |
|
|
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
No
of
R
U
N
E
R
S |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Apr
- Sept 2006 |
|
9 |
|
|
|
1 |
1 |
|
|
1 |
|
|
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
11 |
|
1 |
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
13 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
14 |
|
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
2 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Totals |
|
2 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
|
|
4 |
2 |
Copyright © 2005 [H Hutchinson]. All rights reserved.
|
Results 5 of 9 and 6 of 11 were dead centre. Total races 8.
Southwell 5F all weather
Sept 3rd
2005
to Mar 31 2006
WINNING STALL NUMBER |
|
|
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
No
of
R
U
N
E
R
S |
8 |
11 |
1 |
1 |
|
1 |
|
|
|
|
Sept 3rd
2005
to Mar 31 2006 |
|
9 |
|
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
10 |
1111 |
FF |
|
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
12 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
13 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
14 |
111 |
1 |
11 |
11 |
1 |
11 |
111 |
1 |
1F |
1 |
1 |
|
1 |
|
|
|
10 |
5 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
5 |
Totals |
|
4 |
3 |
2 |
0 |
3 |
0 |
|
|
32 |
10 |
Copyright © 2005 [H Hutchinson]. All rights reserved.
|
1 show
results on Standard/Slow going. F show Standard/Fast.
Results 1 of 8 and 3 of 8 were a dead heat on Standard/Slow
going
Result 5 of 9 was dead centre. Total races 43.
Southwell 5F all weather
April to Sept 3rd 2005
WINNING STALL NUMBER |
|
|
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
No
of
R
U
N
E
R
S |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
April
to Sept 2005 |
9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
10 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
11 |
|
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
12 |
|
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
13 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
Totals |
|
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
|
|
6 |
1 |
Copyright © 2005 [H Hutchinson]. All rights reserved.
|
Total races 7.
Southwell 5F all weather
Nov
7th 2004 to March 31st 2005
WINNING STALL NUMBER |
|
|
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
No
of
R
U
N
E
R
S |
8 |
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Nov
7th 2004 to
March 2005 |
9 |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
11 |
1 |
|
1 |
|
|
11 |
|
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
13 |
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
14 |
111 |
|
11 |
|
1 |
11 |
1 |
|
|
1 |
111 |
|
1 |
111 |
|
|
5 |
1 |
4 |
1 |
1 |
5 |
Totals |
|
3 |
3 |
4 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
|
|
15 |
12 |
Copyright © 2005 [H Hutchinson]. All rights reserved.
|
Results 6 of 11 and 7 - 13 were dead centre.
Total races 30.
|