Horse racing draw advantage bias
AYR 6F
Stalls usually positioned
HIGH ( Centre and Low are shown C and L )
Link
to course and distance menu
WINNING STALL NUMBER |
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1 |
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6 |
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9 |
10 |
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22 |
23 |
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25 |
26 |
27 |
28 |
29 |
30 |
No
of
R
U
N
N
E
R
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8 |
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L |
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1 |
1 |
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9 |
L |
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1 |
L |
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1L |
L |
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10 |
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LL |
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1 |
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11L |
L |
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1 |
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11 |
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1 |
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1 |
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1L |
L |
L |
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12 |
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L |
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1 |
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L
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C |
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13 |
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L |
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1 |
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1C |
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14 |
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1 |
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1L |
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L |
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15 |
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L |
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1 |
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16 |
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L |
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17 |
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18 |
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1 |
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1 |
1 |
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19 |
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20 |
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L |
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1 |
1 |
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1 |
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L |
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1 |
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21 |
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1 |
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22 |
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1 |
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1 |
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23 |
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C |
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1 |
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24 |
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27 |
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1 |
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28 |
1 |
11 |
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1 |
1 |
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1 |
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1 |
1 |
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1 |
1 |
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1 |
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1 |
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1 |
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29 |
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1 |
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1 |
1 |
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1 |
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1
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1 |
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1 |
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1 |
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1 |
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1 |
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30 |
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2 |
2 |
4 |
0 |
3 |
5 |
<--Good
or better --> |
0 |
1 |
6 |
7 |
1 |
3 |
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14 |
26 |
Copyright © 2003 [Howard
Hutchinson]. All rights reserved.
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2005 result, winner drawn 1 of 9, was a race with 3 non-runners (Only 6 ran).
Until 2006, this pattern had been
incredibly consistent.
During the previous 9 years :-
On good or better going, in races of 8 to 18 runners, the only other non-2yr old
winner to start from any stall not in the Top 7 was drawn 3 of 10 runners, July
22nd 2002.
On good or better going, in races of 8 - 18 runners
the Top 7 stalls
won 22 of 24 races 91%.
The Top 7 stalls are those highlighted in blue, plus the next stall to the left
shown in white.
With stalls positioned Low, the Top 2 stalls won 0 of those 24 races.
Now, with the stalls increasingly
placed Low, that pattern is not being maintained, so this course and distance
has been amended for the Stalls To Follow list.
With the stalls positioned Low or Centre, only 1 winner started from the Top 2
stalls.
On good or better going, with stalls High, the Top 7 stalls won 11 of 12 races
91%.
Result 6 of 14 took place in 2006.
On good/good to soft
in places or softer going, in races of 8 - 18 runners,
the Top 6 stalls won 11 of 12 races 91% ( stalls placed High, Low or Centre).
2006 Results :- 3-10, 7-10
(H),
10-11, 11-11, 3-12, 6-13, 13-13 (C), 6-14
(H), 17-18, 4-23 (C), 6-28 (H), 28-28 (H) All
had stalls Low except where indicated.
Ayr
Gold Cup.
There are 24 race results shown here
with more than 25 runners. Only 8 of these races were contested on
good or better going.
Results are spread across both high and
low stalls, with 4 of the 8 wins coming from stalls 1 to 10, and 4 from stalls 16 upwards.
The Ayr Silver Cup and Gold cup races in 2005 were won from stalls1 and 2.
The 2006 winners started from stalls 6 and 28.
On good/good to soft or softer going
(results shown in red),
the Bottom half of the draw won 9 races and the Top half won 7 races.
There are far more reliable betting and laying opportunities elsewhere.
From a draw advantage point of view, this race is a lottery, and
is best left alone.
Above 25 runners, there is a spread of results across most stalls on all
types of going with no section of the stalls showing a bias of any
significance.
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