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Horse
racing draw advantage bias
BEVERLEY 5f
Stalls usually positioned HIGH (Low are shown L)
Link
to course and distance menu Race
of the week
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WINNING STALL NUMBER |
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1L |
1 |
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1 |
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| 10 |
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111 |
11 |
111 |
11 |
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| 11 |
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11 |
1 |
11 |
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11 |
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111 |
1 |
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1 |
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111 |
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1 |
11 |
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1 |
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| 13 |
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1 |
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11 |
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111 |
1 |
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| 14 |
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1 |
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1 |
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1 |
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11 |
1 |
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| 15 |
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1 |
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1 |
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1 |
1111 |
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| 16 |
1 |
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11 |
11 |
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11 |
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11 |
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| 17 |
1 |
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1 |
1 |
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11 |
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| 18 |
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1 |
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1 |
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11 |
1 |
11 |
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| 19 |
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1 |
11 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
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| 20 |
1 |
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1 |
111 |
1 |
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1 |
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11 |
11 |
11111 |
111 |
11 |
1 |
1111 |
1111111 |
111 |
11111111 |
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1 |
1 |
3 |
4 |
6 |
3 |
<--Good
or better --> |
11 |
9 |
11 |
14 |
12 |
19 |
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16 |
90 |
Copyright © 2005 [H
Hutchinson]. All rights reserved.
The most influential factors in these races are the going and field sizes.
On good or better going, the Top half of the draw has totally dominated, winning
90 of 108 races 83%.
2 winners were drawn dead centre.
Overall, with 8 - 20 runners on good or better going :-
The Top 6 stalls won 76 of 108 races 70 %
The Top 5 stalls won 55 of 108 races 50.9 %
On good or better going, just 5 horses won half of these races during the last
10 years.
As field sizes increase beyond 15 runners, wins spread to the Top 7, 8 and 10
stalls.
In races of 16 to 20 runners, you might consider the Top 7, 8, and 10 stalls
rather than just the Top 6.
On good or better going, in races of 8 - 18 runners, the Top 6 stalls won
51 of 66 races 77%
On good or better going, in races of 8 - 20 runners, stalls 1 - 3 won only
5 of 108 races. 2 of those wins came in 2005.
On good/good to soft
in places or softer going, the Top
6 stalls won 23 of 38 races 67 %.
Only 1 of 3 races during 2005 and 2 of 7 races in 2006 were won from the Top 6 stalls on that type of going.
As a general rule, results on going softer than good often prove less reliable
than on good or better. Beverley 5F is a prime example.
200 results :- 8-9, 7-10,
5-12, 7-12, 4-13,
7-13, 7-14, 6-15, 15-15, 15-15, 7-17,
16-17, 10-18, 13-18, 4-20,
13-20, 14-20, 14-20,
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