ASCOT 5F Stalls usually positioned LOW

Ripon Going Analysis 5F & 6F

To sort out the draw advantages in Ripon 5F and 6F sprints we need to take a more detailed look at the going
Normally, throughout this web site, results are presented showing good or better going in black, and softer than good in red.
In order to get more out of Ripon sprints, the analysis below looks at race results on good or better going only.

On this web page, results of races on going that was faster than good are shown in normal black type :- good/good-firm in places, good-firm/good in places, good to firm and good to firm/firm.
The results shown in red are for races on good going.
There are no results on the 2 charts below showing races contested on going softer than good ( good - good to soft in places or softer going ).

By looking at results in this way, we can see what effect different types of FASTER going have had on results.
During the last 9 years, the going at Ripon has never been described as faster that good to firm/firm in places.

The basic result of the analysis shown below :-
on going faster than good, in medium sized fields of 10 to 18 runners, most races were won by horses drawn in stalls 1 to 6.
On going faster than good, crossing to the High side of the course may have only been advantageous on a regular basis in big fields of more than 20 runners in 6F races.
On the slightly slower good going, horses drawn high have been more successful.
Past results show that these races have not favoured a small section of the stalls in the long term, either High or Low, so races on good or slower going are likely to prove less predictable than races on really fast going.

Although races with as few as 9 runners split (e.g. May 26th 2005) when jockeys break away from the main bunch in search of faster ground towards the High rail, not all races with plenty of runners have split.

To make best use of the draw in Ripon sprints, it may be best to wait for going that is faster than good, and follow horses drawn Low, but avoid races with large numbers of runners.

Ripon 5F Stalls usually positioned Low
Results shown in red are for races on good going.
Normal black type = good/good-firm in places, good-firm/good in places, good to firm, good to firm/firm.

Course and distance menu Down to Ripon 6F going analysis All Ripon 5F results
If you have viewed the charts for Chester 5F and Beverley 5F, you should have no difficulty understanding these charts.

WINNING STALL NUMBER
		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12		13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23
No of R U N E R S	8
	9			1				1	1	1							3yr olds and older 10 seasons results 1997 - 2006
	10	1								1
	11		1			1
	12	1					1				1
	13									1
	14		1		1	1	1						1			1
	15
	16
	17			1
	18			1
	19	1																		1
	20			111
	21					1			1
	22
	23	1							1						1								1
		4	2	5	1	3	2	<--Faster than good -->												0	0	0	3	3	1
		18												7

On going faster than good (the black results), the bottom half of the draw won 18 of 25 races 72%.
On going faster than good, stalls 1-6 won 17 of 25 races 68%
The difference between those 2 sets of figures is the result, winner drawn 8 of 21 runners.
In races of 9 and 10 runners and 19 to 23 runners, results have favoured both Low and High stalls, so to narrow things down further :-
Stalls Low. On going faster than good, in races of 11 to 18 runners, stalls 1 to 6 won 10 of 11 races 91 %.
In races of 19 or more runners on Faster Than Good going, stalls 1 to 6 won 5 of 8 races.

On good going (results shown in red), stalls 1-6 won 1 of 6 races, the Top 6 stalls won 3 of 6 races.
Note that on this type of going in races of 8 - 14 runners, all 3 races were won from the Top 5 stalls, but in races of 15 or more, 2 of 3 races were won from the Bottom half of the draw.

2006 results :- 2-14 (Good-firm), 3-20 (Good/good-firm)

2005 results :- 7 of 9, 5 - 14. Both races took place on going faster than good.

Ripon 6F Stalls usually positioned Low All Ripon 6F results
Results shown in red are for races on good going.
Normal black type = good/good-firm in places, good-firm/good in places, good to firm, good to firm/firm.

WINNING STALL NUMBER
		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12		13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24
No of R U N E R S	8	1				1			1
	9		11	1			11	1									3yr olds and older 10 seasons results 1997 - 2006
	10	1	1		11						1
	11	1	1			1	1	1
	12		1		1			1	1		1		1
	13	11		1		1			1	1	11
	14		11	1	1			1
	15				1	1	1						1				1
	16		1	1	1		1		1		1
	17	1							1										1
	18		11
	19												1					1			1
	20			1		1		111		1			1				1					1
	21																	1			11
	22				1															1				1
	23		1		1		1						1						1		11			1	11
	24																									1
		4	8	5	6	4	5	<--Faster than good -->													5	2	4	4	1	5
		34												21

On going faster than good (the black results), the bottom half of the draw won 34 of 56 races 60 %.
On going faster than good, stalls 1 - 6 won 32 of 56 races 57 %.
In races of 9 - 18 runners stalls 1 - 6 won 27 of 36 races 75 %.
Above 18 runners, wins spread to higher stalls.
There is an obvious spread of results in races of 20 runners, and possibly the start of a spread in races of 23 runners.
In races of 21 to 23 runners, the Top 6 stalls won 7 of 10 races 70%, but 10 races is a very small sample.

Stalls Low. On going faster than good, in races of 9 to 18 runners, stalls 1 to 6 won 27 of 36 races 75 %.

On good going (results shown in red), results are spread throughout most of the chart, with perhaps the Top 7 stalls being favoured in races of 22 - 24 runners (5 wins in 7 races), which is very much in line with races on going faster than good.

2006 results, good or faster going only :- 2-9, 10-10, 4-12, 4-14, 12-15 (good), 15-15, 4-16, 17-17 (good), 7-20, 15-20

2005 results, good or faster going only :- 2-12, 7-12, 1-13, 6-16, 10-16 (good),16-19.