Horse racing draw advantage bias CARLISLE 5F
Stalls usually positioned HiGH ( Low are shown L )

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WINNING STALL NUMBER

 1  2  3  4  5  6  7  8  9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
No

of

R

U

N

E

R

S

8        1   111    
9                  
10 1 1   11 1 1 11   1
11       1     1     11  
12     L   L     1     1 11
13   1L    11   11   L          11
14                 1     1 1 1  
15                     1     1    
16       1         1              
17       1     1 1       1 L       11
18 1                             1    
19                                      
20                     1 1   1 1          
21                                          
22                                            
1 1 0 8 1 6

<--Good or better -->

4 4 2 5 4 6
15 26

Copyright 2003 [Howard Hutchinson]. All rights reserved.

2 results :- 2 of 13 and 4-13 were a dead heat.
These add to the appearance of a spread of results in races of 13 runners.
The recommendation for 2005 was to watch the Top 6 stalls in races of 8 to 15 runners on good or better going.
In 2006 there were 4 wins in 5 races under those conditions.
All 6 winners on good or better going in 2006 started from the Top 7 stalls.

On good or better going, in races of 8 - 15 runners the Top 6 stalls won 20 of 28 races 71%.
Above 15 runners, the few results are spread.

On good/good to soft in places or softer going, in races of 8 to 13 runners, winners are spread across most stalls, but in races of 14 or more runners, all 5 races were won from the Top half of the draw.
With the stalls positioned High, 6 of 8 races were won from the Top half of the draw, but these sample sizes are very small.

2006 results :-  4-8, 4-10, 8-10, 10-10, 2-13 (L), 12-17, 13-13, 13-17 (L)