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Horse racing draw advantage bias
CARLISLE 5F
Stalls usually positioned
HiGH ( Low are shown L )
Link
to course and distance menu
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WINNING STALL NUMBER |
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1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
| No
of
R
U
N
E
R
S |
8 |
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1 |
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111 |
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| 9 |
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| 10 |
1 |
1 |
|
11 |
1 |
1 |
11 |
1 |
|
1 |
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| 11 |
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|
1 |
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|
1 |
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|
11 |
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| 12 |
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|
L |
|
L |
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|
1 |
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1 |
11 |
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| 13 |
|
1L |
|
11 |
|
11 |
|
L |
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|
11 |
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| 14 |
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|
1 |
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1 |
1 |
1 |
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| 15 |
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|
1 |
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|
1 |
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| 16 |
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|
1 |
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1 |
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| 17 |
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|
1 |
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|
1 |
1 |
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1 |
L |
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11 |
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| 18 |
1 |
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1 |
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| 19 |
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| 20 |
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|
1 |
1 |
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1 |
1 |
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21 |
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22 |
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1 |
1 |
0 |
8 |
1 |
6 |
<--Good or better --> |
4 |
4 |
2 |
5 |
4 |
6 |
|
|
15 |
26 |
Copyright © 2003 [Howard
Hutchinson]. All rights reserved.
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2 results :- 2 of 13 and 4-13 were a dead heat.
These add to the appearance of a spread of results in races of 13 runners.
The recommendation for 2005 was to watch the Top 6 stalls in races of 8 to 15
runners on good or better going.
In 2006 there were 4 wins in 5 races under those conditions.
All 6 winners on good or better going in 2006 started from the Top 7 stalls.
On good or better going,
in races of 8 -
15 runners the Top 6 stalls won 20 of 28 races 71%.
Above 15 runners, the few results are spread.
On good/good to soft
in places or softer
going, in races of 8 to 13 runners, winners are spread across most stalls, but
in races of 14 or more runners, all 5 races were won from the Top half of the
draw.
With the stalls positioned High, 6 of 8 races were won from the Top half of the
draw, but these sample sizes are very small.
2006 results :- 4-8, 4-10, 8-10, 10-10, 2-13
(L),
12-17, 13-13, 13-17 (L)
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