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Draw advantage bias race results
Doncaster 7F
Stalls usually positioned
HIGH. (Low show L)
Race Of The Week
Link
to course and distance menu
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WINNING STALL NUMBER |
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1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
| No
of
R
U
N
E
R
S |
8 |
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1 |
11 |
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11 |
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| 9 |
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1 |
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| 10 |
L |
1 |
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1 |
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1 |
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| 11 |
1 |
1 |
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11 |
1 |
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1 |
11 |
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| 12 |
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1L |
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1 |
1 |
1 |
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11 |
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| 13 |
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1 |
1 |
1 |
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L1 |
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11 |
1 |
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11 |
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| 14 |
1 |
L |
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11 |
1 |
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1 |
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11 |
1 |
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1 |
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| 15 |
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11 |
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11 |
1 |
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11 |
1 |
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1 |
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11 |
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1 |
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| 16 |
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1 |
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1 |
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| 17 |
1 |
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1 |
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1 |
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1 |
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1 |
1 |
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| 18 |
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1 |
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1 |
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1 |
1 |
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1 |
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1 |
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| 19 |
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1 |
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11 |
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11 |
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| 20 |
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1 |
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1 |
1 |
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1 |
1 |
1 |
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| 21 |
1 |
11 |
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11 |
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1 |
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| 22 |
1111 |
11 |
11 |
1 |
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11 |
1 |
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111 |
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111 |
1 |
11 |
1 |
1111 |
11 |
1111 |
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11 |
1 |
11111111 |
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| 23 |
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5 |
8 |
4 |
7 |
3 |
4 |
<--Good or better --> |
5 |
8 |
6 |
3 |
7 |
10 |
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42
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46
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Copyright © 2005 [H Hutchinson]. All rights reserved.
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You may see draw advantage advice recommending
"High numbers best straight course" or words to that effect, but this has always been a very weak pattern.
On good or better going, the Bottom half, Top half split slightly favours
the Top half of the draw by 46 wins to 42.
Results are spread across a wide range of stall numbers throughout this chart.
On good or better going, in races
of 8 - 13 runners, the Top 6 stalls won 14 of 26 races 54%.
During 2004, 3 of 6 races under those conditions were won from stalls 1 to 4.
In 2005, stalls 1 to 4 won 5 of 7 races.
Although the previous 7 seasons had produced 10 wins in 13 races from the Top 6
stalls under those conditions, the 2004 and 2005 results demonstrate quite clearly how
strong looking patterns over distances beyond 6F can prove to be unreliable.
In draw advantage terms, 7F is a long distance over which to expect results to
be consistent, especially on a straight course.
In 2005, Doncaster Racecourse placed the
stalls Low in 4 races.
3 of those 4 races were won from stalls 1 and 2, with the third dead
centre drawn 7 of 13 runners.
Until more results are available with stalls Low, we should not read too much
into such a small sample, but it will be interesting to see what happens if more
races are started from the Low side of the course.
On good/good to soft
in places or softer
going, results are spread across most stalls throughout this chart.
There are far stronger pattern elsewhere. There
is no recommendation.
2006 results :- No races due to
the building of a new grandstand.
2005 results to Jul 30th :-
1-10 (L), 4-10, 2-11, 2-12 (L), 7-12, 12-12,
4-13,
7-13 (L), 1-14, 2-14 (L), 4-14,
2-15, 4-15, 6-15, 3-17,
1-22, 1-22, 18-22
2004 results :- 7-8,
2-10, 1-11, 4-11,
5-11, 9-11, 2-12,
10-13, 13-13, 7-15, 11-18,
14-20, 15-20, 10-22, 16-22,
22-22
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