Horse racing draw advantage bias LINGFIELD 5F (Turf)
Stalls usually positioned HIGH ( Centre and Low are shown C and L )

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WINNING STALL NUMBER

 1  2  3  4  5  6  7  8  9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
No

of

R

U

N

E

R

S

8  

1

1   1 1 L 1 
9 1           11 1  
10   1 1   111 111 11   1 1
11         1           1
12                1   1   1
13      1               1    
14          1  1   1         11  
15              1 1           1    
16           1     1 11   1   1    
17                             1    
18 1                                  
19                                     1
20           1                 1   1 1 1 1
2 1 3 0 5 7

<--Good or better -->

4 4 4 7 5 4
14 29

Copyright 2005 [H Hutchinson]. All rights reserved.

Lingfield sometimes use a false running rail to move the High rail in by approximately 10 yards.
On good or better going, the Top half, Bottom half split favours the Top half of the draw by 29 wins to 14, a ratio of 2 to 1.
The Top 6 stalls won the majority of races with 8 to13 runners, and again in races of 17 runners or more.
In between, in races of 14 - 16 runners results are spread.
This pattern was pointed out for 2004 and incredibly, the 2004 results followed those trends exactly.
2005 was less convincing but there were only 4 races.
In 2006, the Top 6 stalls won 4 of 4 races.

On good or better going, the Top 6 stalls won 28 of 43 races 65%, but the spread of results in races with 14-16 runners is a worry.
Historically, this course and distance has not proved reliable on this type of going.

On good/good to soft in places or softer going, the Top 6 stalls won 7 of 9 races 78%.
9 races is a very small sample, but there is a very good 6F supporting pattern on this type of going.
In races of 10 or more runners, the Top 6 stalls won 6 of 7 races.
These races are looking very promising, but we need more results to be sure of the pattern.

2006 results :- 8-8, 7-9, 7-9, 6-10, 10-10.

2005 results :-  5-8, 7-10, 12-12, 8-14.
The stalls were positioned High in all these races.