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Note that
the stalls were positioned HIGH in 2006 for the first time since 30th Apr
1999, producing 2 wins in 2
races from stall 4 on good or better going.
For stalls positioned HIGH, use the lower of the 2 charts.
Horse racing draw advantage
bias MUSSELBURGH
5F
Stalls
positioned LOW 2 charts.
See HIGH positining on chart below
Link
to course and distance menu
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WINNING STALL NUMBER |
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1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
| No
of
R
U
N
E
R
S |
8 |
111 |
1 |
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1 |
11 |
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| 9 |
|
11 |
111 |
11 |
1 |
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1 |
1 |
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| 10 |
111 |
|
1 |
1 |
11 |
11 |
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1 |
1 |
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Stalls
LOW |
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| 11 |
11 |
|
11 |
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11 |
1 |
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11 |
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| 12 |
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1 |
11 |
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1 |
1 |
1 |
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1 |
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| 13 |
1 |
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1 |
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1 |
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1 |
11 |
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| 14 |
1111 |
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1 |
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1 |
1 |
1 |
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1 |
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| 15 |
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1 |
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1 |
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1 |
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1 |
1 |
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| 16 |
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11 |
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1 |
1 |
11 |
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1 |
1 |
1 |
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| 17 |
111 |
111 |
11 |
11 |
1111 |
1 |
|
11 |
111 |
1 |
1 |
111 |
11 |
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1 |
111 |
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| 18 |
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| 19 |
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| 21 |
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| 22 |
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14 |
8 |
9 |
6 |
7 |
4 |
<--Good or better --> |
10 |
4 |
5 |
4 |
1 |
6 |
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48 |
26 |
Copyright © 2005 [H
Hutchinson]. All rights reserved.
|
There is a short term trend in these races.
On good or better going during 2003, 9 of 12 races were won from stalls 1 - 6.
On good or better going during 2004, 6 of 9 races were won from stalls 1 - 6.
On good or better going during 2005, 8 of 12 races were won from stalls 1 - 6.
On good or better going during 2006, 7 of 11 races were won from stalls 1 - 6.
On good or better going in the last 4 years, stalls 1 - 6 won 30 of 44 races
68%.
Although that is a promising percentage, those races show little in the way
of clustering in a minority of stalls.
Overall, stalls 1 to 6 won 48 of 80 races 60%.
Before 2003 this pattern favoured the Top 6 stalls i.e. stalls towards the
centre of the course, away from the Low running rail.
The series of results shown above have now swung the stats in favour of the
Bottom half of the draw.
You may choose to follow that short term trend, but as far as this web site is
concerned, the only recommendation at present for this course and distance is
for races with stalls positioned High. (See 2nd chart below).
2006 results stalls Low:- 2-9, 5-9, 1-10, 1-10, 5-10,
4-12, 8-12, 12-12,
10-13, 11-13, 1-14, 2-15, 6-15, 2-17,
4-17, 5-17, 12-17
MUSSELBURGH 5F Stalls
HIGH.
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WINNING STALL NUMBER |
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1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
| No
of
R
U
N
E
R
S |
8 |
1 |
1 |
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1 |
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| 9 |
1 |
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1 |
1 |
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| 10 |
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11 |
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Stalls
HIGH |
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| 11 |
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1 |
11 |
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| 12 |
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1 |
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111 |
1 |
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| 13 |
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| 16 |
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1 |
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1 |
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| 17 |
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11 |
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1 |
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11 |
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1 |
1 |
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| 18 |
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| 21 |
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| 22 |
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2 |
4 |
1 |
3 |
1 |
1 |
<--Good or better --> |
0 |
1 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
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|
12 |
4 |
Copyright © 2006 [H
Hutchinson]. All rights reserved.
|
The stalls
were positioned LOW in all
races 30th April 1999 to the end of 2005.
On good or better going, with the stalls placed against the High rail, most wins
have come from LOW numbered stalls.
These are the stalls towards the Middle or Low part of
the course, or at least away from the High rail.
There could be the start of a spread of wins in races of 17 runners.
Stalls High. On good or better going, stalls 1 - 6 won 12 of 16 races
75 %.
The stalls were placed High for 3 races in 2006 for the first time since April 1999.
Both winnners under those conditions started from stall 4.
On good/good
to soft in places or softer
going, results are spread over a wider range of stall numbers.
2006 Results stalls
High :- 3-9,
4-12, 4-11
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