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Horse racing draw advantage bias
NEWBURY 1m straight.
Stalls now usually positioned Centre shown C, (High are
shown as 1)
Results for stalls positioned Centre are only shown for 2004 and 2005.
Link
to course and distance menu
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WINNING STALL NUMBER |
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1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
26 |
27 |
28 |
29 |
30 |
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of
R
U
N
N
E
R
S |
8 |
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1 |
1 |
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| 9 |
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1 |
C |
1 |
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| 10 |
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1 |
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C |
CCC |
1 |
1 |
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C |
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| 11 |
11 |
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1 |
1 |
CC |
C |
C1 |
1 |
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| 12 |
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1 |
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1 |
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C |
1 |
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| 13 |
1 |
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1 |
C |
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CC |
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CC |
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| 14 |
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1 |
1C |
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C |
11 |
11 |
1 |
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1 |
1C |
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| 15 |
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1 |
C |
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11 |
1 |
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1C |
1111 |
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11 |
1 |
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| 16 |
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1 |
1 |
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1 |
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| 17 |
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1 |
1 |
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1 |
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C |
1 |
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| 18 |
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C |
1 |
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C |
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| 19 |
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C |
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11 |
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| 20 |
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1 |
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1 |
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21 |
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1 |
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1 |
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22 |
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1 |
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23 |
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1 |
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C |
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24 |
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25 |
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1 |
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C |
1 |
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26 |
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27 |
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C |
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28 |
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29 |
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30 |
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1 |
3 |
5 |
4 |
7 |
4 |
<--Good
or better --> |
6 |
4 |
3 |
5 |
6 |
5 |
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23 |
33 |
Copyright © 2003 [Howard
Hutchinson]. All rights reserved.
This is the "Lockinge"
course and distance.
You may see draw advantage advice for this course recommending "High
numbers best", "High numbers best in big fields".
This is a very weak pattern.
There has never been a draw advantage worth following in these races.
Results are spread across most stalls throughout most of this chart on all types
of going.
Different positioning of the stalls appears to make little difference to the
draw.
On good or better going, the Top 6
stalls won 29 of 58 races 50%.
That is a very low percentage for 6 stalls.
Stalls 1 to 6 won 24 of 58 races, a difference of only 5.
On good or better going, there are obvious spreads of results in races up to 15
runners..
In fields of 17 or more runners, the Top half of the draw won 11 of 13 races.
6 of those winners started from the Top 4 stalls.
13 races is a very small sample, and over such a long distance, it may be best
not to read too much into those stats at present.
There is no recommendation.
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2006 results :- 6-10, 10-10,
6-11, 5-13, 8-13, 13-13, 2-15 (H), 13-25
All had stalls positioned Centre except where indicated.
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