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Horse racing draw advantage bias
NEWBURY 7F
Stalls now usually positioned Centre shown C, (High are
shown as 1)
Results for stalls positioned Centre are only shown for 2004 and 2005.
Link
to course and distance menu
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WINNING STALL NUMBER |
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1 |
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3 |
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5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
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13 |
14 |
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16 |
17 |
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20 |
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23 |
24 |
25 |
26 |
27 |
28 |
29 |
30 |
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of
R
U
N
N
E
R
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8 |
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1C |
11 |
1 |
1 |
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C |
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| 9 |
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C |
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1 |
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11C |
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11 |
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| 10 |
1 |
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1 |
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11CC |
1 |
11 |
C1 |
1 |
1 |
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| 11 |
11 |
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1C |
11C |
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1C |
1 |
C |
C |
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1C |
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| 12 |
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C |
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1 |
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| 13 |
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1 |
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C1 |
C |
1 |
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CC |
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| 14 |
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1 |
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C |
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1 |
1CC |
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1C1 |
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| 15 |
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C |
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1 |
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11 |
C |
C |
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1 |
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| 16 |
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C |
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1 |
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C |
1 |
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| 17 |
1 |
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1C |
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1 |
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1 |
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1 |
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| 18 |
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1C |
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1C |
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1C |
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| 19 |
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11 |
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1 |
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1 |
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| 20 |
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1 |
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C |
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C |
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C |
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1 |
C |
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1 |
11 |
C |
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21 |
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22 |
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1 |
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C |
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11 |
1 |
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23 |
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24 |
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1 |
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1 |
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25 |
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1 |
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C |
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C |
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1 |
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26 |
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C |
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27 |
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C |
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1 |
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1 |
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28 |
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30 |
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2 |
4 |
7 |
10 |
1 |
10 |
<--Good
or better --> |
9 |
13 |
4 |
9 |
5 |
5 |
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31 |
43 |
Copyright © 2003 [Howard
Hutchinson]. All rights reserved.
You may see draw advantage
advice for this course recommending "High numbers best", "High
numbers best in big fields".
This is a very weak pattern.
There has never been a draw advantage worth following in these races.
Results are spread across most stalls throughout this chart.
Different positioning of the stalls appears to make little difference to the
draw.
No minority of stalls has been favoured on any type of going, or with any stalls
positioning.
On good or better going, the Top 6
stalls won 45 of 78 races 57%.
That is a very low percentage for 6 stalls.
Stalls 1 to 6 won 35 of 78 races.
4 winners were drawn dead centre.
On good or better going, in fields of 20 or more runners, with stalls positioned
Centre, the Top half of the draw won 6 of 7 races.
Only 3 of those winners started from the Top 6 stalls.
A recommendation of the Top half in those races would be 10 or more horses -
hardly an inspiring advantage.
7 races is also a very small sample, so it would be best not to read too much
into those stats at present.
That is about as good as this pattern gets.
There is no recommendation.
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2006 results :- 8-8,
5-9 (H), 4-11, 6-11, 9-13 (H), 13-13, 13-13, 10-14,6-15,
11-15 (H), 12-15,
2-16, 1-17 (H), 3-18, 14-18, 11-20
All had stalls positioned Centre except where indicated.
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