Horse racing draw advantage bias
NEWMARKET JULY 1m
Stalls usually positioned HIGH. (Low shown L, Centre
C).
This course is sometimes split
into 2 by a false rail, so some races may have taken place on the Low half or the
High half of the course.
At present, there is no way of identifying this from race returns.
Link
to course and distance menu
WINNING STALL NUMBER |
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1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
No
of
R
U
N
E
R
S |
8 |
111 |
1 |
L |
1 |
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1L |
1L |
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9 |
111L |
11 |
1 |
1L |
11 |
11 |
1 |
1111 |
1111 |
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10 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
L |
111 |
11L1 |
111 |
1L |
11 |
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11 |
1 |
11 |
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111 |
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1 |
11 |
1 |
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1 |
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12 |
11 |
111111 |
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1 |
11L1 |
L |
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1 |
1L |
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1L |
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13 |
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1 |
111 |
1 |
11 |
1 |
1 |
1L |
1 |
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1 |
1L |
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14 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
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11 |
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11 |
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1 |
1 |
111 |
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15 |
L |
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1 |
1 |
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11 |
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L |
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1 |
1 |
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L |
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16 |
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1 |
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1 |
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1L |
1 |
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L |
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17 |
1L |
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11 |
1 |
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1 |
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18 |
1 |
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1 |
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1 |
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L |
1 |
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19 |
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1 |
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L |
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1 |
1 |
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11 |
1 |
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L |
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20 |
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L |
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11 |
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11 |
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L |
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11L |
L |
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1 |
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1 |
1 |
1L |
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21 |
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1 |
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22 |
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1 |
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23 |
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1 |
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14 |
12 |
7 |
12 |
9 |
11 |
<--Good or better --> |
6 |
16 |
10 |
4 |
11 |
10 |
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61
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70
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Copyright © 2005 [H Hutchinson]. All rights reserved.
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A very weak pattern.
On good or better going, Stalls 1 to 6 won 65 of 133 races 48%.
The Top 6 stalls won 57 races, and 2 other winners were drawn dead centre.
As described in the 7F write-up, splitting of the course into 2 using a false
rail, and fields splitting as jockeys search for faster going, plus the distance
of these races, all have a negative affect on results.
There is no recommendation.
On good/good
to soft in places or softer
going, results are spread across most stalls.
2005 results :- 6-9,
9-9, 9-9,
12-12, 6-14, Stalls High.
3-8,
1-9, 6-12, 12-12, 13-14,
1-15, 15-15, 12-16, 9-19, 18-19
Stalls Low.
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