|
Horse racing draw advantage bias
NEWMARKET ROWLEY 1m
Stalls usually positioned
HIGH ( Centre and Low are shown C and L )
This course is
sometimes
split into 2 by a false rail, so some races may have taken place on the Low half or
the High half of the course.
At present, there is no way of identifying this from race returns.
Link
to course and distance menu
|
WINNING STALL NUMBER |
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
26 |
27 |
28 |
29 |
30 |
| No
of
R
U
N
N
E
R
S |
8 |
|
|
|
11 |
1 |
111 |
L |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 9 |
111 |
1L |
1 |
L |
L |
11 |
11 |
L |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 10 |
|
|
|
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3yr olds
and older
9 seasons results
1997 - 2005 |
|
|
|
| 11 |
LL |
|
11 |
|
|
1 |
|
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 12 |
1 |
1 |
|
1 |
|
|
1 |
11L |
11 |
|
111 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 13 |
L |
11C |
C |
1 |
1 |
|
1 |
1 |
LL |
1 |
L |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 14 |
1 |
|
11 |
1 |
|
1C |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 15 |
|
11 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
L |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 16 |
L |
|
|
1 |
|
|
11 |
11 |
L |
|
1 |
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 17 |
|
|
|
|
|
L |
|
1 |
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 18 |
|
|
|
|
|
L |
|
|
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 19 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
|
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
C |
|
1L |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 20 |
1 |
1 |
|
11 |
|
1 |
|
|
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
|
|
|
1 |
1 |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 21 |
C |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
|
L |
|
|
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 22 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 23 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 24 |
|
|
|
|
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
L |
|
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 25 |
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 26 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
27 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
28 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
1 |
|
|
1 |
1 |
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
29 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
30 |
|
11 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
11 |
|
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
11 |
|
|
|
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
9 |
9 |
6 |
8 |
3 |
11 |
<--Good
or better --> |
9 |
8 |
5 |
8 |
7 |
7 |
|
|
52 |
50 |
|
A very weak pattern, and all very even.
Results are spread across a wide range of stall numbers throughout this chart.
On good or better going, stalls 1 to 6 won 46 of 104 races 44%, a very low
percentage for 6 stalls.
The Top 6 stalls won 44 races.
2 winners were drawn dead centre.
In races of 22 to 29 runners, there appears to be a lack of wins from the extremes of very Low and very High
numbered stalls.
Over such a long distance on a straight course where fields often split into 2
or more groups, we shouldn't read too much into that observation.
Additionally, the splitting of the course into 2 halves using a false running
rail, adds to the problems of sorting out the draw in these races.
From a draw advantage viewpoint, there is nothing to recommend over this course
and distance.
2006 results :- 6-8,
2-9, 6-9,
6-11, 4-12, 2-13, 4-13, 5-13, 3-14, 11-17, 4-20,
21-22 Stalls
High
3-13,
6-14 Stalls Centre
5-9,
8-9, 8-12, 13-15,
6-18, 19-19 Stalls Low
2005 results :-
1-9, 10-10, 3-11,
8-12, 9-12,
11-12, 10-13, 14-16,
10-19,
13-19, 17-20
Stalls High
17-19, 1-21 Stalls Centre
2-9,
4-9, 1-13, 11-13, 1-16, 9-16,
6-17 Stalls Low.
Copyright © 2005 [H
Hutchinson]. All rights reserved.
|
|