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Horse racing draw advantage bias
NOTTINGHAM 5F
Stalls usually positioned
HIGH ( Low are shown L )
Link
to course and distance menu
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WINNING STALL NUMBER |
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1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
| No
of
R
U
N
E
R
S |
8 |
L |
11 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1L11 |
1 |
11 |
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| 9 |
11 |
1L |
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1 |
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1 |
1 |
L |
1 |
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| 10 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
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1 |
1 |
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1 |
1 |
1 |
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| 11 |
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1 |
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1 |
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1 |
11 |
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| 12 |
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1 |
1 |
1 |
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11 |
1 |
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| 13 |
1 |
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11 |
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1 |
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| 14 |
1 |
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| 15 |
1 |
1 |
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1 |
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1 |
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| 16 |
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1 |
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| 17 |
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1 |
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111 |
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L |
1 |
1 |
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| 18 |
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1 |
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1 |
1 |
11 |
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| 19 |
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| 21 |
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| 22 |
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4 |
5 |
3 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
<--Good or better --> |
3 |
4 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
4 |
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17 |
20 |
Copyright © 2005 [H
Hutchinson]. All rights reserved.
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You may see draw advantage advice recommending
"High numbers best" or words to that effect, but there is not much to get excited about here.
This all looks very even.
On good or better going, both stalls 1 to 6 and the Top 6 stalls won 20 of 37
races.
There are obvious spreads of results in races of 8 and 10 runners.
On good or better going in races of 13 or more runners, the
Top 6 stalls won only 1 of 11 races.
5 of those 11 races were won from stalls 1 to 3 in races of 13 to 15 runners.
Those 2 observations could suggest that as the
number of runners increases, better ground is to be found towards the Centre of
the track or at least away from the High running rail.
In races of 16 runners or more, wins are spread, so it may not pay to read too
much into those 5 results.
Also, 11 races is a very small
sample.
There appears to be no other visible pattern.
On going good/good to soft in places or softer,
wins are spread across most stalls.
2006 results :- 5-8,
6-8, 4-9, 7-9, 3-10, 4-11, 9-10, 12-12, 5-17,
10-17
2005 results :- 1-8,
4-8, 8-8, 9-9, 6-16,
11-1
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