Horse racing draw advantage bias PONTEFRACT 6F
Stalls usually positioned LOW ( Centre and High are shown C and H )

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WINNING STALL NUMBER

 1  2  3  4  5  6  7  8  9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
No

of

R

U

N

E

R

S

8     1 11   1   11
9   11 11     11 111 1 1
10 11 11 11 1 1 111       1
11 11 11 1 1 1 11 111 1   1 11
12 1 1 1   1        1 1   111
13   1    1 1     11       1 1
14             1 1 111 1       11
15   1   1 11         1 111 1 11   111
16                 11 1            
17 11 1 11 11     1   C 1 1 111   1 1 11  
18   11   1 1   1 11111   11 1 11 H1 11     1 111
19                                      
20                                        
21                                          
22                                            
4 7 8 7 6 6

<--Good or better -->

10 12 3 5 4 13
35 52

Copyright 2005 [H Hutchinson]. All rights reserved.

This a very interesting pattern, when you consider the shape of the course.
This is a left handed course with a bend, and is up hill for most of the way.
Therefore, the Low stalls are closest to the inside rail.
On good or better going :-
The Top 6 stalls  won 47 of 88 races  53 %.
Stalls 1 - 6         won 38 of 88 races  43 %.
The wins from High stalls go against long held beliefs that a Low draw advantage should exist in these races.
Historically, there has not been a reliable Low draw advantage in these races..
Results here are inconsistent, and are reflected in the weak pattern.

The following pattern was described in 2005 and 2006 :-
Races with less runners were won from Low stalls, but with more runners, most wins came from the Top 1/2 of the draw.
The wins from High stalls may be caused by traffic problems in larger fields, but that's only a guess.
On good or better going in races of 8 - 12 runners, stalls 1 - 6 won 26 of 38 races  68 %.
The Top 6 stalls won 20 of 38 races.
On good or better going in races of 13 - 18 runners, the Top 6 stalls won 27 of 50 races 54 %.
On good or better going in races of 13 - 18 runners, only 13 of 50 races were won from the Bottom 1/2 of the draw.

Amazingly, during 2005 on good or better going, 5 of the 8 results followed this Low and High, change-over pattern.
In 2006, 6 of 8 races followed that pattern
There is no recommendation.

On good/good to soft in places or softer going, results are spread across all stalls throughout this chart.

2006 results :- 2-9, 6-9, 3-10, 2-11, 6-11, 7-11, 8-11, 2-12, 12-12,
                      12-15, 13-15, 15-15, 10-18

2005 results :-   8-9, 6-10, 4-11, 1-12, 5-12, 12-13, 7-14, 10-14,
                        14-14 (only 9 ran),
11-15, 3-17, 7-17, 4-18