Horse racing draw advantage bias RIPON 5F
Stalls positioned LOW 

Course and distance menu

WINNING STALL NUMBER

 1  2  3  4  5  6  7  8  9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
No

of

R

U

N

E

R

S

8       1       1
9     1       1 1 1
10 1 1       1     1  
11   1     1 1          
12 1         1 1      1    
13   11        1     1 1      
14 1 1    1 11 1       1   1   1
15                 1              
16                     1   1      
17     1                   1        
18     1 1                            
19 1                                 1  
20     111   1   1      1                    
21         1     1                          
22                                            
23 11             1         1               1    
4 2 6 1 3 2

<--Good or better -->

0 1 0 3 4 2
20 11

Copyright 2005 [H Hutchinson]. All rights reserved.

Runners regularly split into 2 groups in both 5F and 6F races at Ripon, sometimes in races with as few as 12 runners, but not all races split.
As a general rule, splitting often causes spreads of wins across both high and Low stalls.

On good or better going, the Bottom half of the draw has been favoured by 20 wins against 11, a ratio of almost 2 to 1.
On good or better going, stalls 1 to 6 won 18 of 31 races 58%, not a high percentage for 6 stalls.
The Top 6 stalls won 10 of 31 races.
There are spreads of results throughout this chart especially in races with 14 runners.
In races of 8 to 14 runners, the Bottom half of the draw won 10 of 18 races.
In races of 15 or more runners, the Bottom half of the draw won 10 of 13 races.
Stalls 1 to 6 won 8 of 13 races 61%, not a high percentage for 6 stalls.

A major factor that determines which side of this course rides faster is the going.
As a general rule, the faster the going, the more Low stalls have been favoured,
BUT, as field sizes increase beyond 18 runners, wins spread to higher stalls.
Follow this
Ripon going analysis  link for a more detailed analysis of the effect of the going in these races.

On good, good to soft in places or softer going, wins are spread across most stalls.
In races of 10 or more runners, the Top 3 stalls won 0 in 20 races.

Newspaper draw advantage advice, usually covers all eventualities for sprints at this course, High advantage, Low advantage and No advantage, depending on your choice of newspaper.
Splitting of races has not gone un-noticed in the racing press :-
You may see draw advantage advice for Ripon suggesting that middle stalls are at a disadvantage, compared to high and low stalls.
Looking at the chart, if you were to divide the stalls into thirds, this could only be said to be true in races of 16 - 19 runners,.
a very narrow part of the chart.

2006 results :- 6-13, 10-13, 1-14, 2-14 (Good-firm), 3-20 (Good/good-firm), 7-20

2005 results :-  7-9 (good-firm/firm), 2-13, 2-13, 5-14 (good-firm), 8-15, 10-20
2004 results :-  8-9 (good-firm), 6-12 (good-firm),
5-20.
There were no 5F races on Good going during those 2 years.