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Horse racing draw advantage bias
SALISBURY 7F
(6f 212yds)
Stalls usually positioned HIGH (Centre shown C)
Stalls positioning is only shown for 2004 and 2005.
Link
to course and distance menu
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WINNING STALL NUMBER |
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1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
| No
of
R
U
N
E
R
S |
8 |
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11 |
1 |
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| 9 |
C |
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CC |
|
1 |
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C |
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| 10 |
1 |
|
1C |
1 |
|
C |
111 |
|
1 |
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| 11 |
|
C |
1 |
1C |
1 |
C |
1 |
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C |
1 |
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| 12 |
|
11C |
|
C |
1 |
111 |
|
1 |
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|
1 |
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| 13 |
|
1 |
11 |
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C |
1 |
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|
1 |
11 |
1 |
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| 14 |
|
|
11 |
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|
1 |
1 |
C |
C |
11 |
|
C |
11 |
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| 15 |
|
1 |
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|
1 |
|
1 |
1 |
1 |
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| 16 |
|
|
1 |
1 |
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|
C |
C |
|
C |
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1 |
|
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| 17 |
|
|
1 |
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1 |
1 |
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| 18 |
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|
1 |
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1 |
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1C |
|
1 |
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| 19 |
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| 20 |
11 |
|
11 |
11 |
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|
1 |
1 |
|
1 |
1111 |
11 |
11 |
11 |
111 |
111 |
1 |
111 |
11 |
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|
4 |
3 |
12 |
6 |
3 |
6 |
<--Good or better --> |
3 |
9 |
5 |
6 |
9 |
5 |
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34
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48
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Copyright © 2005 [H Hutchinson]. All rights reserved.
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A weak pattern.
You may see advice such as "High numbers best up to 1m, except on soft
going when Low best", or words to that effect.
Clearly, on going that was
good to soft/ soft in places or softer,
Low numbers have not been particularly favoured in these races during the last
10 years.
On good or better going, any
advantage has been very marginal.
On good or better going, the Bottom half, Top half split favours the
Top half of the draw.
Wins from High stalls have been boosted by 18 winners from the Top half of the
draw in races with 20 runners.
In races of 8 to 19 runners, the split is Bottom half 26, Top half 30, with 2 other winners drawn dead centre.
That is a difference of only 4 races, and 30 winners of 60 races is only 50%, a
very low percentage for up to 9 runners.
In 2005 in races of 20 runners,
there were 2 wins from the Bottom half and 1 win from the Top half.
Wins are spread throughout most of this chart on all types of going.
Different positioning of the stalls seems to make little difference.
There is no recommendation.
2006 results :- 1-9, 2-11,
4-11, 2-12, 6-13,
7-13, 2-15, 8-16,
10-16, 16-16, 16-18,
3-20
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