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Horse racing draw advantage bias
SANDOWN 7F
Stalls usually positioned
HIGH
Link
to course and distance menu
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WINNING STALL NUMBER |
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1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
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of
R
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8 |
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11 |
1 |
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1 |
1 |
1 |
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| 9 |
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11 |
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1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
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| 10 |
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1 |
11 |
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11 |
1 |
11 |
1 |
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| 11 |
1 |
11 |
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1 |
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| 12 |
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1 |
1 |
1 |
11 |
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1 |
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11 |
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| 13 |
1 |
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1 |
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1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
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1 |
11 |
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| 14 |
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1 |
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1 |
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111 |
11 |
1 |
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| 15 |
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11 |
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11 |
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1 |
1 |
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| 16 |
1 |
1 |
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1 |
1 |
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11 |
1 |
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111 |
1 |
11 |
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11 |
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| 17 |
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2 |
4 |
4 |
5 |
4 |
4 |
<--Good or better --> |
6 |
5 |
3 |
6 |
4 |
8 |
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22
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29
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Copyright © 2005 [H Hutchinson]. All rights reserved.
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There is quite a sharp bend into the straight in
these races, which in theory should be to the advantage of horses drawn High,
next to the inside rail..
Most draw advantage advice for Sandown concentrates on 5F sprints, but
occasionally, television presenters advise that horses drawn High in these races
have an advantage.
These results do not support such comments.
A very weak pattern, with spreads of results throughout most of this chart.
On good or better going, the Top half of the draw won 29 of 54 races 53%
The bottom half won 22 races, and 3 other winners were drawn dead centre.
On good or better going the Top 6 stalls won 32 of 54 races 59%.
During 2006, the Top 6 stalls won 6 of 8 races which boosted that percentage
from 53% in 2005, a very low percentage for 6 stalls.
Any advantage in these races is only marginal in the long term.
On good/good to soft in places or
softer going, in races of 8 - 13 runners, stalls 1 to 6 won 7 of 8 races.
Above 13 runners, wins spread to higher stalls.
The wins from stalls 1 to 6 were horses drawn away from the High rail, towards
the Centre of the course.
8 races is a very small sample, and over such a long distance, and with so few
runners, this could easily be coincidence.
2006 results :- 8-10, 2-11,
12-12, 12-12, 9-13, 9-14, 9-14, 8-15
2005 results :- 2-8, 4-10,
7-10, 9-10, 3-12, 3-13, 6-13, 13-13, 16-16
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