|
Horse racing draw advantage bias THIRSK
5F
Stalls usually positioned
HIGH ( Low are shown L )
Link
to course and distance menu
Back
to Race Of The Week
|
WINNING STALL NUMBER |
|
|
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| No
of
R
U
N
E
R
S |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 9 |
L |
11 |
|
11 |
|
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 10 |
|
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 11 |
|
|
|
1 |
|
11 |
11 |
1 |
11 |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 12 |
1 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
11 |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 13 |
|
|
|
|
1 |
|
1 |
1 |
|
1 |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 14 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
|
1 |
|
1 |
1 |
11 |
1 |
1 |
C |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 15 |
|
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
111 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 16 |
11 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
L |
|
|
1 |
L |
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 17 |
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 18 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
1 |
|
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 19 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 20 |
|
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
|
|
|
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
1 |
|
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 21 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
| 22 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 23 |
|
|
|
|
1L |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 24 |
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
11 |
|
|
1 |
|
11 |
1 |
1 |
|
2 |
2 |
2 |
4 |
5 |
2 |
<--Good or better --> |
10 |
4 |
7 |
8 |
5 |
6 |
|
19 |
39 |
Copyright © 2005 [H
Hutchinson]. All rights reserved.
|
Splits occur here quite often, as jockeys
search for better going towards the far (Low) rail, usually in races of 14
runners or more, but not all those races split.
As a result of fields splitting, some advice may recommend following horses that manage to get to either
rail, which may be interpreted as a recommendation for both Low and High stalls,
rather than Central stalls.
Some advice may recommend a Low advantage on soft going.
On good or better going, results in these races prove that despite splitting, the Top 6 stalls
have been favoured more than all
the other stalls put together.
Low numbered stalls have not dominated in races on going described as good/good to soft in places, or softer.
Stalls 1 to 6 won only 10 of
26 races 38%.
On good or better going the Top 6 stalls won
40 of 61 races 65%.
There appears to be the start of spreads of results in races of 15 and 16
runners.
On good or better going, in races of 15 or more runners, the Top 6 stalls won 18
of 32 races 56 %.
Stalls 1 to 6 won 7 of 32 races.
To make best use of the draw advantage here in 5F and 6F races, we need to
concentrate on races that are not likely to split.
If we wait for races with smaller fields, most of those races will not split.
This will enable our well drawn horses in the Top few stalls to take full
advantage of the faster ground towards the High rail.
Stalls High. On good or better going, in races of 8 - 14 runners,
the Top 6 stalls won 21 of 28 races 75 %.
You can see the effect the splitting of runners is having in larger fields, from
those percentages.
On good,
good to soft in places or softer going, results are
spread across most stalls throughout this chart.
2006 results :- 7-9, 10-11, 8-13,
11-13,
4-14, 7-14,
13-14, 5-20
2005 results :- 6-11, 7-11,
3-12, 10 -14, 14-14 (C), 15-15,
4-17,
14-18, 11-20,
17-20
The stalls were placed Centre
for the first time on August 8th 2005.
The winner was drawn 14 of 14 runners on good-firm going.
The runners didn't split.
|
|