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Horse racing draw advantage bias
WARWICK 1m 22yds
Stalls usually positioned
LOW
There are only 7 seasons results
shown here.
The distance of these races was increased by
22 yards in 2000.
Link
to course and distance menu
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WINNING STALL NUMBER |
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1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
| No
of
R
U
N
E
R
S |
8 |
1 |
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1 |
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1 |
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1 |
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| 9 |
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11 |
1 |
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1 |
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3yr olds
and older
7 seasons results
2000 - 2006 |
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| 10 |
1 |
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1 |
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1 |
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| 11 |
1 |
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1 |
1 |
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1 |
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1 |
11 |
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| 12 |
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1 |
1 |
1 |
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1 |
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1 |
1 |
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| 13 |
1 |
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1 |
1 |
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1 |
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| 14 |
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1 |
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1 |
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1 |
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1 |
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| 15 |
F |
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1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
F |
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| 16 |
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1 |
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11 |
1 |
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1 |
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| 17 |
1 |
111 |
11 |
1 |
1 |
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1 |
1111 |
11 |
F |
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1 |
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1 |
1 |
1 |
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| 18 |
1 |
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1 |
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| 19 |
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1 |
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1 |
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| 20 |
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1 |
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1 |
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1 |
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1 |
11 |
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1 |
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11 |
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1 |
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5 |
5 |
7 |
4 |
2 |
3 |
<--Good or better --> |
5 |
1 |
3 |
2 |
5 |
5 |
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35
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20
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Copyright © 2005 [H Hutchinson]. All rights reserved.
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F Flag
starts. All 3 on May 4th 2004 on heavy going.
A very weak pattern.
This is a left handed course with a bend of almost 180 degrees after about 3.5
furlongs.
We could expect Low drawn horses closest to the inside rail to
be favoured, but any advantage in these races is only marginal.
On good or better going, The
Bottom half of the draw won 35 of 57 races 61%.
Stalls 1 to 6 won 26 of 57 races 45%, a very low percentage for 6 stalls.
The Top 6 stalls won 21 races, and 1 other winner was drawn dead centre.
Any advantage has only been slight. Results are spread across most stalls.
On good/good
to soft in places or softer
going, in races of 15 or more runners, the Bottom half of the draw won 11
of 16 races 69%.
The Top half won 3 races, and 2 other winners were drawn dead centre.
That looks very promising, but half the runners in races of 15 or more is 7 to
10 horses, not the sign of a strong pattern.
You may choose to follow that trend, but these races are over a very long
distance in draw advantage terms and 16 races (including 3 flag starts) is a
very small sample.
As a general rule, results on that type of going often prove inconsistent.
This only one to watch.
2006 results :- 7-8, 6-16,
8-16, 2-17, 8-17, 8-17, 8-17,
15-17, 16-17
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