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Note that
a false rail has been used on the straight at Windsor for at least the
last 6 years.
The false rail is used to split the straight
approximately in half, and races then use either half of the course to relive wear of the
turf.
The side of the course to be used is usually decided during the week prior to
racing. The stalls are mostly positioned High throughout, on both halves of
the course.
Information by courtesy of The Clerk Of The Course 13 Apr 2006.
The use of a false rail could be a
contributory factor towards spreads of results, so it may be unwise to read too
much into these stats.
If we ever get an indication of false rail usage in results returns, it will be possible to produce more accurate stats.
At present with stalls High, we are looking at results of races started with the
stalls next to the stands' rail, and in the Centre of the course, next to the
stands' side false running rail.
Horse racing draw advantage bias
WINDSOR 5F
Stalls usually positioned
HIGH ( Low are shown L )
Link
to course and distance menu
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WINNING STALL NUMBER |
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1 |
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4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
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12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| No
of
R
U
N
E
R
S |
8 |
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1 |
11 |
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1 |
1 |
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| 9 |
11 |
1 |
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1 |
1 |
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| 10 |
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1 |
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111 |
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| 11 |
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11 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
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1 |
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| 12 |
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1 |
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1 |
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1 |
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| 13 |
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1 |
11 |
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1 |
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| 14 |
1 |
11 |
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1 |
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11 |
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1 |
1 |
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| 15 |
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1 |
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1 |
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11 |
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1 |
1 |
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L |
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| 16 |
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1 |
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1 |
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1 |
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1 |
1 |
11 |
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| 17 |
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11 |
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L1 |
1 |
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1 |
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1 |
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| 18 |
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1 |
1 |
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| 19 |
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| 20 |
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1 |
1 |
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1 |
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1 |
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1 |
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| 21 |
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1 |
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| 22 |
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| 23 |
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1 |
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| 24 |
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| 25 |
1 |
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1 |
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2 |
5 |
2 |
4 |
1 |
6 |
<--Good or better --> |
4 |
3 |
2 |
7 |
2 |
7 |
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18 |
24 |
Copyright © 2005 [H
Hutchinson]. All rights reserved.
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Until the 2005
results were added, there was a good pattern that favoured the Top 3 stalls on
good or better going, in races of 15 or more runners., but 2005 and 2006 results
didn't continue that trend.
On good or better
going the Top half of the draw won 24 of 45 races 53%.
The Bottom half won 18 of 45 races.
3 other winners were drawn dead centre.
Any advantage in these races has been only marginal in the long term, and the
false rail cannot be helping this pattern.
Runners will be continually using different parts of the track, and at present
false rails are not recorded in race returns, leaving us very much in the dark.
There is no recommendation.
On good,
good-soft in places or softer going, results
are spread across a wide range of stall numbers.
2006 results :- 3-8.
6-8, 5-10,
9-13, 2-14,
4-14, 7-16
2005 results :- 4-8, 8-11,
6-14,
2-15, 9-15, 2-16,
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