Horse racing draw advantage bias YARMOUTH 5F
Stalls usually positioned  HIGH (H) or LOW (L)

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WINNING STALL NUMBER

 1  2  3  4  5  6  7  8  9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
No

of

R

U

N

E

R

S

8 H H           L
9        H     H  
10           H     H H
11         H   H     L H
12                         
13                  H     H  
14 H                           H
15 H                              
16   H   H H H                    
17                                  
18                                    
19                                   HL  
20           L                            
21                                          
22                                            
3 2 0 2 2 3

<--Good or better -->

1 2 0 1 4 4
11 11

Very few races here, but results could be indicating a High advantage in races with up to 14 runners.
Stalls LOW. All 4 results were on good or better going.
Apart from result 6 of 20, the other 3 wins were from the Top 2 stalls.
That is the 2 stalls farthest away from the rail, towards the Centre of the course.
Stalls HIGH.
On good or better going, both stalls 1 to 6 and the Top 6 stalls won 12 of 22 races 54%
In races of 9 to 14 runners, the Top 6 stalls won 9 of 11 races 82%.
11 races is a very small sample.
In 2006 the Top 6 stalls won 3 of 3 races under those conditions.
With stalls High, those winners were drawn closest to the running rail.

It could be argued that, races with stalls Low go some way to supporting those results, since 3 of 4 winners with stalls Low started from High numbered stalls, farthest away from the rail, towards the Centre of the course.
That could indicate better drainage on the High side, but in races with more runners, most winners started from stalls 1 to 6.
There is some inconsistency here.
Until we get more results, there is no recommendation.

2006 results :- 8-9, 4-9, 9-13, 2-16, 4-16, 5-16 All races had stalls positioned High.
2005 results :-  10-10,
7-11, 11-11, 6-16.  All races had stalls positioned High.

The advice remains unaltered from the 2 previous years :- 

Results are starting to look inconsistent.  There is no recommendation.

Copyright 2005 [H Hutchinson]. All rights reserved.