Horse racing draw advantage bias
YORK 7F (6F
217 yds)
Stalls usually positioned LOW (
High are shown H, Centre C )
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York 5F
York 6F York
7F 205yds York 1m 2F
WINNING STALL NUMBER |
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1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
No
of
R
U
N
E
R
S |
8 |
1 |
H |
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1 |
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1 |
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11 |
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9 |
C |
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1 |
1 |
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11 |
1 |
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3yr
olds and older
10 seasons results
1997 - 2006 |
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10 |
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1 |
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11 |
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11 |
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1 |
111 |
11 |
1 |
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C |
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12 |
1 |
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1 |
1 |
11 |
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13 |
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1 |
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14 |
1 |
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1 |
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15 |
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1 |
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1 |
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1 |
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16 |
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1 |
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1 |
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H1 |
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1 |
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17 |
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1 |
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18 |
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1 |
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1 |
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19 |
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11 |
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1 |
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20 |
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1 |
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1 |
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1 |
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H |
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21 |
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22 |
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1 |
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23 |
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1 |
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1 |
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1 |
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24 |
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1 |
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11 |
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1 |
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11 |
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1 |
1 |
1 |
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1 |
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1 |
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25 |
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3 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
4 |
2 |
<--Good or better --> |
2 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
2 |
5 |
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17 |
22 |
Copyright © 2005 [Howard
Hutchinson]. All rights reserved.
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The start for this race is from a chute at the entrance to the straight.
A slight left hand bend has to be negotiated, shortly after the start which in theory
should favour horses drawn in Low numbered stalls.
Horses drawn in these Low stalls are on the inside, and have less
distance to travel, could benefit from a better early position in the race etc.
Some draw advantage advice recommends a Low draw advantage in these races, but
as you can see from the results presented here, the bend, and proximity to the
running rail have had no positive effect on results at the winning post.
On good or better going,
the Bottom half, Top half split favours the Top
half of the draw by 22 wins to 17.
Under those conditions, there were 3 wins from both halves of the draw during
2005, and 2 wins from both halves in 2006.
On good or better going, the Bottom 6 and Top 6 stalls both won 17 of 39 races
43%, a very low percentage for 6 stalls.
On good/good to soft in places or softer
going
(results shown in red), stalls 1 to 6 won 14
of 25 races.
The Top 6 stalls won 12 of 25 races.
Results are spread
across a wide range of stall numbers throughout this chart.
Results on all types of going are spread throughout Low, Middle and High
numbered stalls --- a classic example of no advantage.
Any draw advantage advice for this course and distance should reflect this
current trend.
There is no recommendation.
2006 results :- 4-8,
8-8, 1-9 (C), 9-10, 6-11,
11-11 (C), 1-12, 7-15
All had stalls placed Low except where indicated.
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